Polessya 1-0 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.7pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.00/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.04
-7% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.04.2024 Polessya Polessya 0-1 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKRK
22.10.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-3 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya edged past Vorskla Poltava 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Polessya and 0.50 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava?

Polessya 1-0 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Polessya 41%, draw 27%, Vorskla Poltava 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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