Thanh Hoa 1-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - Cup, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.04.2024 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
23.02.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 3-2 HT 2-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
22.07.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 0-3 HT 0-2 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
02.07.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
14.10.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
06.03.2022 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa and Xi Mang Hai Phong shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Thanh Hoa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.17 for Xi Mang Hai Phong.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Thanh Hoa 1-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong in the Vietnam - Cup on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 50%, draw 24%, Xi Mang Hai Phong 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Thanh Hoa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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