Carabobo 2-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.61
Draw
40%
3.28
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.51
Over 2.5
30%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
58%
-18.5pp
40%
Draw
27%
+12.5pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.28/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.46
+16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
22.2 Crosses 13.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
0.65 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
01.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
12.05.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
01.08.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
22.04.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.66 xG 0.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
243 Passes 397
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo nicked a narrow win over Portuguesa FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 40% / 20% — and on the day Carabobo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 40% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 60%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.66 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Carabobo and 0.20 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC?

Carabobo 2-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 40%, draw 40%, Portuguesa FC 20%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/40/20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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