Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.77/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.54
+22% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
26.6 Crosses 11.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
263 Passes 241
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.03.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
07.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
10.04.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-1
AWAY Angostura FC
0.89 xG 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
341 Passes 224
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello and Angostura FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 60% of the ball to Angostura FC's 40%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 0.89 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.00 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Angostura FC?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 53%, draw 25%, Angostura FC 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ BTTS No
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