Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 60%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.85
+10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 26.0
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
7 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1-3
AWAY Cerro Porteno
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno saw off Deportivo Recoleta 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 57% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 43%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?

Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 28%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
29 Apr 2025
00:00 Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Olimpia Analysis →