Al Jabalain 3-1 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.74
Over
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha The Market 30%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.43/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.71
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jabalain
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Abha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.12.2024 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
3-1
AWAY Abha
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jabalain beat Abha 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Jabalain as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 47% of the ball to Abha's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Abha?

Al Jabalain 3-1 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jabalain win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 43%, draw 31%, Abha 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jabalain) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Jabalain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
29 Apr 2025
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