Al Hazm 1-1 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.9
Over
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Al Hazm win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
2.41/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.44
+38% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Al-Ain
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
28% Ball Possession 72%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2024 Al-Ain Al-Ain 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
10.05.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
28.12.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
1-1
AWAY Al-Ain
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm and Al-Ain couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Al Hazm carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Hazm had 56% of the ball to Al-Ain's 44%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Hazm had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Hazm and 0.67 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Al-Ain?

Al Hazm 1-1 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 56%, draw 21%, Al-Ain 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hazm), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
29 Apr 2025
19:25 Al Jabalain vs Abha Analysis →