Ajman 1-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 29 May 2024

Ajman
1-1 HT 1-0
Baniyas SC
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Ajman vs Baniyas SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.59
Over 2.5
43%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.41
No
52%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.69
2-3 Goals
43%
2.03
4-5 Goals
19%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.14
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.69 — our 26% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
35%
+22.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
65%
-22.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
67%
-18.4pp
52%
BTTS No
33%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajman v Baniyas SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.79/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.92
+5% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
13.5 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ajman vs Baniyas SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-3 HT 0-3 Ajman Ajman BAE
07.10.2022 Ajman Ajman 2-0 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
05.03.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-2 HT 0-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
24.09.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
26.02.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
07.11.2020 Ajman Ajman 0-0 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE

Ajman 1-1 Baniyas SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
1-1
AWAY Baniyas SC
0.49 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
321 Passes 414
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman and Baniyas SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ajman at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajman had 45% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 55%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.49 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajman and 1.00 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Baniyas SC?

Ajman 1-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ajman 42%, draw 28%, Baniyas SC 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajman), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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