Hatta Dubai 2-5 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
10.1
2-3 Goals
37%
2.56
4-5 Goals
30%
2.32
6+ Goals
11%
3.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.8pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.8pp
64%
Away Win
79%
-15.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatta Dubai EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 84%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.88/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.61
-54% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 85%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
15.1 Crosses 20.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatta Dubai
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.57 xG 2.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
302 Passes 464
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2021 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
04.11.2020 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 HT 1-0 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai BAE
29.01.2020 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai BAE
19.09.2019 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatta Dubai
2-5
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.37 xG 3.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
403 Passes 431
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatta Dubai vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai swept aside Hatta Dubai 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Hatta Dubai had 48% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 52%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.37 to 3.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Hatta Dubai and 2.25 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Hatta Dubai vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Hatta Dubai 2-5 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatta Dubai vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hatta Dubai 20%, draw 17%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 64%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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