Al Mokawloon 0-1 Tersana Giza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
5.23
6+ Goals
6%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.9pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tersana Giza EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
0-1
AWAY Tersana Giza
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Tersana Giza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tersana Giza squeezed past Al Mokawloon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 63% of the ball to Tersana Giza's 37%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Tersana Giza?

Al Mokawloon 0-1 Tersana Giza in the Egypt - Cup on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Tersana Giza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 49%, draw 22%, Tersana Giza 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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