El Geish 1-0 Bur Fouad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.7pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Bur Fouad EU Bookmakers 14%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-87% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-0
AWAY Bur Fouad
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Bur Fouad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past Bur Fouad 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had El Geish as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 50% of the ball to Bur Fouad's 50%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Bur Fouad?

El Geish 1-0 Bur Fouad in the Egypt - Cup on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Bur Fouad?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split El Geish 58%, draw 21%, Bur Fouad 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Geish), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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