Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 May 2024

Bodo/Glimt
1-1 HT 1-1
Sandefjord
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.8
2-3 Goals
34%
2.29
4-5 Goals
28%
2.4
6+ Goals
16%
4.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.2
X/1
21%
3.82
X/2
6%
19.05
X/X
13%
9.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.8
2/2
9%
12.4
2/X
6%
19.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.8 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-17.1pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.4pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodo/Glimt v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.34/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.11
+20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
39.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.8 Crosses 15.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.24 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
493 Passes 295
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-3 HT 4-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
23.07.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-5 HT 2-3 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
09.10.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
10.04.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
31.10.2021 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
30.06.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-0 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bodo/Glimt at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.33 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 55%, draw 25%, Sandefjord 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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29 May 2024
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