Tromsö 3-0 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 May 2024

Tromsö
3-0 HT 2-0
Fredrikstad
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Tromsö vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.52
X/2
17%
6.1
X/X
17%
3.92
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
6%
4.95
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +32%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.05
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +146% / +133%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
16.9 Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Tromsö vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.70 xG 1.02
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
453 Passes 199
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
25.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
26.10.2014 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
06.04.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR1
05.08.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
25.03.2012 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
21.08.2011 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Tromsö 3-0 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
3-0
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.98 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
316 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö ran out comfortable winners over Fredrikstad 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Tromsö found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 47% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 53%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.98 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tromsö and 0.50 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Fredrikstad?

Tromsö 3-0 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 40%, draw 31%, Fredrikstad 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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