Kalisz 1-0 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.66/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.19
+12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.10.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
1-0
AWAY Polonia Bytom
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz squeezed past Polonia Bytom 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kalisz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kalisz had 46% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 54%, shots finished 11-23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kalisz and 0.50 for Polonia Bytom.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Polonia Bytom?

Kalisz 1-0 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 42%, draw 26%, Polonia Bytom 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalisz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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