Umea FC Akademi 3-2 Lucksta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İSÇD4, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucksta EU Bookmakers 18%
-78% / -78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-57% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lucksta
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.08.2024 Lucksta 3-2 HT 2-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
01.04.2024 Umea FC Akademi 4-0 HT 2-0 Lucksta İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC Akademi nicked a narrow win over Lucksta 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Umea FC Akademi as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 1.50 for Lucksta.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Lucksta?

Umea FC Akademi 3-2 Lucksta in the İSÇD4 on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Lucksta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC Akademi win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 62%, draw 22%, Lucksta 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC Akademi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC Akademi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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