Lucksta 3-2 Umea FC Akademi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.4pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucksta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.50
+43% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucksta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Umea FC Akademi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
01.04.2024 Umea FC Akademi 4-0 HT 2-0 Lucksta İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Lucksta vs Umea FC Akademi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucksta nicked a narrow win over Umea FC Akademi 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lucksta as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Lucksta vs Umea FC Akademi?

Lucksta 3-2 Umea FC Akademi in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucksta vs Umea FC Akademi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucksta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lucksta 44%, draw 28%, Umea FC Akademi 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucksta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lucksta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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