Motala AIF FK 3-2 Kongahalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.9pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/2.01
+3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -31%
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motala AIF FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kongahalla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
29.03.2024 Kongahalla 4-1 HT 2-1 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motala AIF FK
3-2
AWAY Kongahalla
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Kongahalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK nicked a narrow win over Kongahalla 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kongahalla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Motala AIF FK had 40% of the ball to Kongahalla's 60%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Kongahalla?

Motala AIF FK 3-2 Kongahalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Kongahalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 34%, draw 23%, Kongahalla 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongahalla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongahalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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