Falu BS 1-0 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.29
Over 2.5
65%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
40%
-5.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
60%
+5.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+3.9pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falu BS EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 43%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.00/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.60
-42% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falu BS
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jarfalla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.04.2024 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-2 Falu BS İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Falu BS vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falu BS edged past Jarfalla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Falu BS made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Falu BS vs Jarfalla?

Falu BS 1-0 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falu BS vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Falu BS 32%, draw 33%, Jarfalla 35%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
4 Aug 2024
14:00 Vastra Frolunda IF vs Landvetter IS Analysis →
14:00 Balkan vs IFK Berga Analysis →
15:00 Hudiksvalls FF vs IFK Österaker Analysis →
15:00 Motala AIF FK vs Kongahalla Analysis →
15:00 Lucksta vs Umea FC Akademi Analysis →
15:00 Savedalen vs Varbergs GIF Analysis →