Savedalen 0-1 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.0pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+1.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Savedalen EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.33/2.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.63
+2% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -36%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Savedalen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-0 HT 2-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
24.09.2023 Savedalen Savedalen 2-2 HT 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
01.06.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-1 HT 0-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
20.08.2022 Savedalen Savedalen 1-3 HT 0-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
30.04.2022 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-4 HT 0-2 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
25.08.2021 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-1 HT 0-1 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Savedalen vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF squeezed past Savedalen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Varbergs GIF as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Savedalen and 2.00 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Savedalen vs Varbergs GIF?

Savedalen 0-1 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Savedalen vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Savedalen 20%, draw 21%, Varbergs GIF 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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