Varbergs GIF 3-0 Savedalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Savedalen EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +20%
1.35/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.68
-26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Savedalen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Savedalen Savedalen 2-2 HT 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
01.06.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-1 HT 0-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
20.08.2022 Savedalen Savedalen 1-3 HT 0-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
30.04.2022 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-4 HT 0-2 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
25.08.2021 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-1 HT 0-1 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
09.06.2021 Savedalen Savedalen 0-2 HT 0-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs GIF
3-0
AWAY Savedalen
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Savedalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF swept aside Savedalen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Varbergs GIF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Varbergs GIF had 39% of the ball to Savedalen's 61%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Varbergs GIF and 1.50 for Savedalen.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Savedalen?

Varbergs GIF 3-0 Savedalen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Savedalen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Savedalen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 33%, draw 30%, Savedalen 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Savedalen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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