IK Gauthiod 1-6 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.27/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/3.01
-25% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
07.10.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
22.06.2023 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 1-3 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
09.09.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
04.08.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
09.06.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 1-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
05.10.2020 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK ran out comfortable winners over IK Gauthiod 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vanersborgs FK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IK Gauthiod and 0.83 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs Vanersborgs FK?

IK Gauthiod 1-6 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 33%, draw 25%, Vanersborgs FK 43%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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