BK Forward 0-1 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BK Forward EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.20/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.12
+21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BK Forward
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 0-0 HT 0-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
15.04.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 1-1 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
10.07.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 1-0 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH BK Forward vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grebbestads IF edged past BK Forward 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was BK Forward at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BK Forward and 0.67 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of BK Forward vs Grebbestads IF?

BK Forward 0-1 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BK Forward vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a BK Forward win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BK Forward 44%, draw 24%, Grebbestads IF 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BK Forward) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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