Österlen 1-1 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Mar 2024

Österlen
1-1
Nosaby IF
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Österlen vs Nosaby IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.0pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Österlen v Nosaby IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.00
-30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Österlen vs Nosaby IF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Nosaby IF
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 1-2 HT 1-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
02.06.2023 Österlen Österlen 1-1 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 0-1 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
28.07.2020 Österlen Österlen 1-0 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen and Nosaby IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Österlen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Österlen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Österlen and 1.00 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of Österlen vs Nosaby IF?

Österlen 1-1 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Österlen 46%, draw 24%, Nosaby IF 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Österlen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Österlen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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