Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.07
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 43%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.72/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.65
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
6.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
10.2 Crosses 19.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
1-1
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.24 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
284 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun and Chongqing Tongliang Long shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 46% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 54%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.24 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 33%, draw 28%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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