Guangzhou Evergrande 1-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
6%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.19/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.53
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +96%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
26.8 Crosses 11.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
254 Passes 227
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 1-1 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
28.05.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 3-2 HT 2-1 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
1-1
AWAY Nanjing City
2.16 xG 0.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
29 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 1
277 Passes 102
78% Pass Accuracy 55%
31 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Evergrande vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande and Nanjing City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guangzhou Evergrande had 68% of the ball to Nanjing City's 32%, shots finished 29-12, expected goals 2.16 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guangzhou Evergrande and 2.00 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Evergrande vs Nanjing City?

Guangzhou Evergrande 1-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Evergrande vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Evergrande 39%, draw 27%, Nanjing City 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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