Bergnäsets 3-1 Frösö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
23%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.17
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
16%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-11.1pp
13%
Draw
15%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
10%
+12.6pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.6pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.7pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Frösö EU Bookmakers 12%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
3.57/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.11
+38% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Frösö
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
21.06.2024 Frösö Frösö 3-5 HT 3-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
22.10.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-4 HT 0-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Frösö Frösö 1-1 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
30.10.2021 Frösö Frösö 2-1 HT 1-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
03.07.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 2-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Frösö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets saw off Frösö 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bergnäsets as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Bergnäsets and 2.40 for Frösö.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Frösö?

Bergnäsets 3-1 Frösö in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Frösö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 64%, draw 13%, Frösö 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergnäsets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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