Kolombiya 3-0 Kosta Rika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 29 Jun 2024

Kolombiya
3-0 HT 1-0
Kosta Rika
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Copa America – 2024

Kolombiya vs Kosta Rika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 34% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.55
1/2
7%
130.0
1/X
9%
23.15
X/1
16%
3.3
X/2
8%
19.7
X/X
10%
6.4
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
6%
17.45
2/X
5%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+10.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolombiya v Kosta Rika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosta Rika EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.95/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/1.71
-36% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 2.0
21.3 Crosses 7.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kolombiya vs Kosta Rika Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kosta Rika
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.54 xG 0.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
506 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.10.2018 Kolombiya Kolombiya 3-1 HT 1-1 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika HAZ
07.06.2015 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika HAZ
02.07.2011 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 1-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika AKU

Kolombiya 3-0 Kosta Rika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya
3-0
AWAY Kosta Rika
2.90 xG 0.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
464 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 5
14 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kolombiya vs Kosta Rika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya swept aside Kosta Rika 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kolombiya as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Kolombiya had 64% of the ball to Kosta Rika's 36%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.90 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kolombiya had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kolombiya and 0.33 for Kosta Rika.

What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Kosta Rika?

Kolombiya 3-0 Kosta Rika in the Copa America on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Kosta Rika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 55%, draw 24%, Kosta Rika 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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