FC Lahti 2-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
30%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
21.45
1/X
8%
17.3
X/1
11%
12.2
X/2
13%
3.74
X/X
10%
6.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.85
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 66%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.56/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.27
-19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
15.0 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
245 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
21.10.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-5 HT 1-3 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.06.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
09.10.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
29.07.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
2-2
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.38 xG 2.41
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti and Ilves Tampere couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Lahti had 40% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 60%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.38 to 2.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Lahti and 1.83 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere?

FC Lahti 2-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 23%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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