Ilves Tampere 0-0 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
13%
3.82
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
14%
8.38
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.20/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
-18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.0 Crosses 20.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.69 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-5 HT 1-3 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.06.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
09.10.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
29.07.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
18.06.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
0-0
AWAY FC Lahti
1.08 xG 0.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
556 Passes 195
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
53 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere and FC Lahti fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 70% of the ball to FC Lahti's 30%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.50 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs FC Lahti?

Ilves Tampere 0-0 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 48%, draw 23%, FC Lahti 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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