KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.02
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
14%
6.5
X/2
13%
4.67
X/X
13%
4.0
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.15
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.06/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.39
+2% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
14.0 Crosses 22.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-3D-0L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
343 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
03.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.05.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
18.03.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
16.10.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
02.07.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.61 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
319 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio beat HJK Helsinki 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day KuPS Kuopio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 50% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 50%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.61 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.00 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki?

KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 34%, draw 28%, HJK Helsinki 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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