SJK Seinajoki 2-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.3
X/2
15%
7.99
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.6
2/2
11%
5.9
2/X
7%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.41/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.06
+25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
23.9 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.95 xG 1.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 387
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
25.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.06.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİK
29.04.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
18.02.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2-1
AWAY Oulu
1.60 xG 2.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki nicked a narrow win over Oulu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 52% of the ball to Oulu's 48%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.60 to 2.22 — on chances, Oulu could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 2.33 for Oulu.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu?

SJK Seinajoki 2-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 42%, draw 26%, Oulu 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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