Haka 1-2 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 6 Apr 2024

Haka
1-2 HT 0-2
VPS
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Haka vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.16
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
12%
4.69
X/2
13%
6.37
X/X
9%
4.16
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.86
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haka v VPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +41%
1.73/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.96
+26% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +73%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.6 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Haka vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 2.25
45% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
276 Passes 362
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.02.2024 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
23.07.2023 VPS VPS 4-1 HT 2-1 Haka Haka FİN
22.05.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-2 VPS VPS FİN
28.01.2023 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FLK
30.10.2022 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
26.10.2022 VPS VPS 0-3 HT 0-3 Haka Haka FİN

Haka 1-2 VPS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-2
AWAY VPS
1.32 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
355 Passes 231
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS nicked a narrow win over Haka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; VPS found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Haka had 58% of the ball to VPS's 42%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.32 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Haka and 1.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of Haka vs VPS?

Haka 1-2 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Haka 36%, draw 26%, VPS 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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