Anderlecht 2-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.27
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.21
2-3 Goals
44%
2.09
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
5.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-19.8pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.6pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
531 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
23.12.2009 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEK
25.04.2009 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
28.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
27.02.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
02.02.2008 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
30.01.2008 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
2-1
AWAY Dender EH
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht edged past Dender EH 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Anderlecht had 57% of the ball to Dender EH's 43%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Anderlecht and 0.17 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Dender EH?

Anderlecht 2-1 Dender EH in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 55%, draw 25%, Dender EH 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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