Midtjylland 2-2 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.0pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.97
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-0D-3L
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
322 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
13.08.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-2 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
15.04.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 3-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
08.04.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
04.02.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-2 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
11.09.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-2
AWAY SonderjyskE
48% Ball Possession 52%
24 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland and SonderjyskE shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Midtjylland carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 48% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 52%, shots finished 24-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Midtjylland and 1.50 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs SonderjyskE?

Midtjylland 2-2 SonderjyskE in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 59%, draw 18%, SonderjyskE 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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