Skeid II 1-5 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
16%
7.78
Away
69%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
14.15
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
43%
3.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.3
6+ Goals
13%
2.66
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.03 — our 43% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
45%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+10.1pp
16%
Draw
9%
+6.2pp
69%
Away Win
85%
-16.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skeid II EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 91%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/0.97
-100% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
247 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 532 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Skeid II vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum swept aside Skeid II 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Skeid II vs Baerum?

Skeid II 1-5 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skeid II vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Skeid II 15%, draw 16%, Baerum 69%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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