Stord Sunnhordland 1-2 Bjarg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.94
Over 2.5
56%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
11%
+10.3pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.7pp
54%
Away Win
71%
-17.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
22%
+22.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
78%
-22.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stord Sunnhordland EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Bjarg EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.03/3.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.51
+74% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stord Sunnhordland
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bjarg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
11.08.2023 Stord Sunnhordland Stord Sunnhordland 2-3 HT 1-1 Bjarg Bjarg NOR4
17.06.2023 Bjarg Bjarg 2-3 HT 1-2 Stord Sunnhordland Stord Sunnhordland NOR4
13.07.2022 Stord Sunnhordland Stord Sunnhordland 0-2 HT 0-1 Bjarg Bjarg NOR4
POST-MATCH Stord Sunnhordland vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg nicked a narrow win over Stord Sunnhordland 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bjarg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stord Sunnhordland and 2.33 for Bjarg.

What was the final score of Stord Sunnhordland vs Bjarg?

Stord Sunnhordland 1-2 Bjarg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stord Sunnhordland vs Bjarg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stord Sunnhordland 22%, draw 24%, Bjarg 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bjarg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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