Melbourne City II 3-3 Melbourne Victory U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
31%
+9.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne City II vs Melbourne Victory U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II and Melbourne Victory U23 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 19% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Melbourne City II vs Melbourne Victory U23?

Melbourne City II 3-3 Melbourne Victory U23 in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City II vs Melbourne Victory U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City II 40%, draw 19%, Melbourne Victory U23 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/19/40) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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