Northcote City 2-3 North Geelong Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 29 Jun 2024

Northcote City
2-3 HT 2-0
North Geelong Warriors
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2024

Northcote City vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Northcote City v North Geelong Warriors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Northcote City vs North Geelong Warriors Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY North Geelong Warriors
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
18.04.2015 Northcote City Northcote City 2-0 HT 2-0 North Geelong Warriors North Geelong Warriors AVNPL
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs North Geelong Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Geelong Warriors edged past Northcote City 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Northcote City carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs North Geelong Warriors?

Northcote City 2-3 North Geelong Warriors in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs North Geelong Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 60%, draw 20%, North Geelong Warriors 20%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northcote City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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