Charleston Battery 5-2 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.87/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.18
+33% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.4 Crosses 11.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
3W-3D-0L
AWAY North Carolina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.28 xG 1.08
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 Passes 439
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
20.08.2020 North Carolina North Carolina 0-3 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
22.09.2019 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
31.03.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 1-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
27.09.2018 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-0 HT 0-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
05.08.2018 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
5-2
AWAY North Carolina
3.47 xG 0.97
67% Ball Possession 33%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
385 Passes 142
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
36 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery swept aside North Carolina 5-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 67% of the ball to North Carolina's 33%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 3.47 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charleston Battery and 0.33 for North Carolina.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs North Carolina?

Charleston Battery 5-2 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 50%, draw 26%, North Carolina 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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