Yanbian Longding 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 40% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.8pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.83/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.06
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +115%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
16.2 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
1-0
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
0.88 xG 0.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
307 Passes 400
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding nicked a narrow win over Nantong Zhiyun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Yanbian Longding made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 45% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 55%, shots finished 4-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.25.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Yanbian Longding 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 39%, draw 29%, Nantong Zhiyun 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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