Hebei Kungfu 2-2 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.06/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.30
-6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.3 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 0.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
284 Passes 236
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
29.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
07.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
12.05.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 2-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
20.04.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
2-2
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.72 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
242 Passes 192
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 6
35 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu and Foshan Nanshi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hebei Kungfu at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 56% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 44%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.72 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 0.67 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Foshan Nanshi?

Hebei Kungfu 2-2 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 51%, draw 23%, Foshan Nanshi 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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