Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 39% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.5pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.87/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.77
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.2 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.48 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
206 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
12.05.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 2-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
20.04.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
27.08.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
01.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-3 HT 2-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.17 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 1
295 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Hebei Kungfu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hebei Kungfu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 49% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 51%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.17 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.33 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Hebei Kungfu?

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 25%, draw 32%, Hebei Kungfu 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hebei Kungfu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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