Hubei Istar 2-2 Guangxi Lanhang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Lanhang EU Bookmakers 18%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.33/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.37
+144% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
12.9 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hubei Istar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guangxi Lanhang
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.39 xG 0.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
137 Passes 167
63% Pass Accuracy 67%
10 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Guangxi Lanhang Guangxi Lanhang 1-2 HT 1-1 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hubei Istar
2-2
AWAY Guangxi Lanhang
1.08 xG 0.80
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
276 Passes 112
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hubei Istar vs Guangxi Lanhang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hubei Istar and Guangxi Lanhang couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hubei Istar at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hubei Istar had 68% of the ball to Guangxi Lanhang's 32%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.08 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Hubei Istar vs Guangxi Lanhang?

Hubei Istar 2-2 Guangxi Lanhang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hubei Istar vs Guangxi Lanhang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hubei Istar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hubei Istar 53%, draw 26%, Guangxi Lanhang 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hubei Istar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hubei Istar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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