Quanzhou Yassin 2-1 BIT Beijing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.6pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quanzhou Yassin EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quanzhou Yassin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BIT Beijing
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
123 Passes 154
63% Pass Accuracy 61%
6 Box Touches 12
6 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing 1-0 HT 0-0 Quanzhou Yassin Quanzhou Yassin ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quanzhou Yassin
2-1
AWAY BIT Beijing
1.73 xG 0.36
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
290 Passes 99
78% Pass Accuracy 52%
17 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Quanzhou Yassin vs BIT Beijing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quanzhou Yassin nicked a narrow win over BIT Beijing 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Quanzhou Yassin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Quanzhou Yassin had 66% of the ball to BIT Beijing's 34%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Quanzhou Yassin's control.

What was the final score of Quanzhou Yassin vs BIT Beijing?

Quanzhou Yassin 2-1 BIT Beijing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quanzhou Yassin vs BIT Beijing?

Before kick-off our model rated an BIT Beijing win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Quanzhou Yassin 33%, draw 34%, BIT Beijing 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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