Taian Tiankuang 3-1 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taian Tiankuang EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 45%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taian Tiankuang
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hainan Star
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.38 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
95 Passes 139
56% Pass Accuracy 61%
10 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Hainan Star Hainan Star 2-2 HT 1-2 Taian Tiankuang Taian Tiankuang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taian Tiankuang
3-1
AWAY Hainan Star
0.92 xG 3.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
260 Passes 178
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 44
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Taian Tiankuang vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taian Tiankuang saw off Hainan Star 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Taian Tiankuang made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Taian Tiankuang had 56% of the ball to Hainan Star's 44%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.92 to 3.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hainan Star.

What was the final score of Taian Tiankuang vs Hainan Star?

Taian Tiankuang 3-1 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taian Tiankuang vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Taian Tiankuang 35%, draw 28%, Hainan Star 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hainan Star) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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