Hebei Kungfu 2-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.27
Draw
27%
5.15
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.83
6+ Goals
10%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 33% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
75%
-19.4pp
27%
Draw
17%
+9.9pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 11%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.11/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.30
-2% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 66%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
22.7 Crosses 11.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.77 xG 0.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
296 Passes 206
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
27.08.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
01.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-3 HT 2-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
14.05.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
25.11.2022 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
2-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.89 xG 0.31
68% Ball Possession 32%
28 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
370 Passes 135
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
37 Box Touches 10
50 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu nicked a narrow win over Foshan Nanshi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hebei Kungfu as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 68% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 32%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 1.89 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hebei Kungfu's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 0.50 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Foshan Nanshi?

Hebei Kungfu 2-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 55%, draw 27%, Foshan Nanshi 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
12 May 2024
10:00 Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Shenyang Analysis →
10:30 Wuxi Wugou vs Shanghai Jiading Analysis →
14:30 Guangzhou Evergrande vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →
14:30 Yunnan Yukun vs Yanbian Longding Analysis →