Yunnan Yukun 5-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.3pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.82/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.06
+25% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
39.0 Crosses 15.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
5-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
2.20 xG 0.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
383 Passes 345
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun cruised past Yanbian Longding 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 52% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 48%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.20 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Yanbian Longding?

Yunnan Yukun 5-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 64%, draw 21%, Yanbian Longding 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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