Guangzhou Evergrande 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.47
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
1.36/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/1.04
-3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
225 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
25.3 Crosses 16.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.48 xG 1.07
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
345 Passes 103
78% Pass Accuracy 52%
33 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Evergrande vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande and Qingdao Red Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guangzhou Evergrande at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Guangzhou Evergrande had 70% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 30%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.48 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Evergrande vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Guangzhou Evergrande 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Evergrande vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Evergrande 45%, draw 30%, Qingdao Red Lions 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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