Foshan Nanshi 2-0 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.68
Over 2.5
29%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.77
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
12%
4.22
6+ Goals
5%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 37% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
71%
Under 2.5
56%
+15.1pp
29%
Over 2.5
44%
-15.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.7pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.20/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.28
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.1 Crosses 8.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
304 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
13.08.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 4-0 HT 2-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-3 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
07.05.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
05.07.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-2 HT 0-2 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.06.2022 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 3-1 HT 1-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi got the better of Liaoning Shenyang 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day Foshan Nanshi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 0.83 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Foshan Nanshi 2-0 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 34%, draw 35%, Liaoning Shenyang 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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