Jarfalla 3-1 Sunnersta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunnersta EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.10/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.99
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarfalla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sunnersta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.06.2025 Sunnersta 1-0 HT 0-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarfalla
3-1
AWAY Sunnersta
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Sunnersta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla saw off Sunnersta 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jarfalla as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jarfalla had 55% of the ball to Sunnersta's 45%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Sunnersta?

Jarfalla 3-1 Sunnersta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Sunnersta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 42%, draw 29%, Sunnersta 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarfalla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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